Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk in September? | Yes | 10 | $0.680 | $4.2 | -$2.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 21h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.75 |
| -$0.75 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.006 | $0.09 | -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.880 |
| $17.6 |
| 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 13 | $0.876 | $11.39 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 7 | $0.875 | $6.13 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | sell | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | 5d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 25.45 | $0.520 | $13.23 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.46 | $0.500 | $2.73 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | sell | 25 | $0.785 | $19.63 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.295 | $2.95 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.490 | $3.06 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | sell | 20 | $0.761 | $15.22 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 13.9 | $0.311 | $4.32 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 6.1 | $0.350 | $2.14 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | sell | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | 6d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.325 | $0.97 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.029 | $0.29 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.58 | $0.795 | $2.85 | 7d ago |
 Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 7d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | sell | 7.73 | $0.068 | $0.53 | 7d ago |
 Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?No | sell | 10 | $0.097 | $0.97 | 7d ago |
 Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 7d ago |
| Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?No | buy | 10 | $0.117 | $1.17 | 7d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.017 | $0.17 | 7d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 8d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | 8d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.008 | $0.32 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | 9d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.031 | $0.62 | 10d ago |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.110 | $0.11 | 10d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.053 | $0.53 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.157 | $2.35 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.951 | $19.02 | 10d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.034 | $0.68 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.652 | $6.52 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.656 | $6.56 | 10d ago |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 11d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.685 | $27.4 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 11d ago |