Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 8.33 | $0.600 | $3.79 | -$1.21 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 23.4 | $0.940 | $22 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.920 |
| $9.2 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.996 | $8.96 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 70 | $0.263 | $18.41 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 70 | $0.820 | $57.4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 320 | $0.590 | $188.8 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 253.59 | $0.937 | $237.61 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 273.27 | $0.999 | $273 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 274.01 | $0.989 | $271 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | sell | 142.85 | $0.015 | $2.14 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | sell | 272.72 | $0.980 | $267.27 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.990 | $270 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | sell | 304.34 | $0.890 | $270.86 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 304.35 | $0.920 | $280 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | buy | 224.78 | $0.040 | $9 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | buy | 268.04 | $0.970 | $260 | Oct 30, 2025 |