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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.020 | $200 | May 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 4K |
| $0.340 |
| $1.36K |
| May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.028 | $140 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.75K | $0.027 | $101.34 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 219.32 | $0.350 | $76.76 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.47K | $0.030 | $74.12 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.055 | $0.56 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.22 | $0.097 | $0.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 1.52K | $0.820 | $1.24K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 327.9 | $0.190 | $62.3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 523.52 | $0.150 | $78.53 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.140 | $35 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 176.18 | $0.749 | $131.97 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 78.53 | $0.046 | $3.58 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.8 | $0.200 | $4.76 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 36.75 | $0.182 | $6.69 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.290 | $329.08 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.590 | $472 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.920 | $1.03 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 197.43 | $0.730 | $144.12 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 130.25 | $0.693 | $90.27 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 132.5 | $0.812 | $107.54 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 269 | $0.978 | $263.08 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 656.42 | $0.620 | $406.98 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.610 | $244 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes | sell | 314.07 | $0.910 | $285.8 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.420 | $105 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.380 | $555.3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 322.83 | $0.850 | $274.41 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes | buy | 314.07 | $0.930 | $292.09 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 55.02 | $0.560 | $30.81 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 779.54 | $0.360 | $280.58 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 241.66 | $0.500 | $120.83 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.78 | $0.965 | $10.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 140.55 | $0.380 | $53.41 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 261.81 | $0.700 | $183.27 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 373 | $0.630 | $234.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 264.23 | $0.620 | $163.82 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 197.54 | $0.160 | $31.61 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 107.84 | $0.530 | $57.16 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.830 | $415 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 9.72K | $0.998 | $9.71K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.01 | $0.690 | $49 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.84 | $0.710 | $35.39 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.890 | $133.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |