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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | sell | 25.97 | $0.992 | $25.76 | Aug 6, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 9.35 |
| $0.970 |
| $9.07 |
| Aug 6, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 9.07 | $0.998 | $9.05 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.078 | $5 | Jul 17, 2025 |