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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 300 | $0.960 | $288.15 | +$0.15 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 21d ago |
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| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.418 |
| $11.84 |
| +$3.48 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.420 | $4.45 | +$0.25 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.960 |
| $288 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.934 | $56.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.978 | $2.85 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.964 | $28.91 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.957 | $19.14 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 70.42 | $0.930 | $65.49 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 8.85 | $0.113 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |