Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.386 | $524.13 | Apr 4, 2026 |
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tryingsohardtowinthemarkets is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,120,493 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$8.12K observed lifetime PnL, 50 resolved positions, a 38.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x8511c2430002c8de0d4435be5daacd1db4e3ed83
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 544.7 |
| $0.999 |
| $544.16 |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 544.71 | $0.550 | $299.59 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München | buy | 1.01K | $0.480 | $484.4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes | buy | 465.26 | $0.370 | $172.15 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?Yes | buy | 882.5 | $0.566 | $499.75 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC | buy | 399.8 | $0.250 | $99.95 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?Yes | buy | 659.49 | $0.470 | $309.96 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.634 | $689.65 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC | buy | 612.76 | $0.550 | $337.02 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes | sell | 733.98 | $0.999 | $733.25 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 733.98 | $0.630 | $462.41 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC | buy | 1.14K | $0.410 | $467.27 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 953.61 | $0.490 | $467.27 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC | buy | 2.24K | $0.402 | $898.28 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 2.92K | $0.600 | $1.75K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.570 | $999.5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.630 | $1.8K | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 318.44 | $0.450 | $143.3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 953.61 | $0.665 | $633.91 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?Yes | buy | 434.54 | $0.460 | $199.89 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?Yes | buy | 499.68 | $0.400 | $199.87 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München | sell | 391.94 | $0.999 | $391.55 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.520 | $999.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München | buy | 391.94 | $0.510 | $199.89 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC | buy | 526.39 | $0.410 | $215.82 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.570 | $1.9K | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?Yes | buy | 4.1K | $0.610 | $2.5K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes | buy | 2.69K | $0.650 | $1.75K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes | buy | 416.42 | $0.360 | $149.91 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.670 | $1.59K | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes | buy | 4.59K | $0.670 | $3.08K | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.690 | $851.87 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 852.72 | $0.999 | $851.87 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes | buy | 2.54K | $0.690 | $1.75K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC | buy | 737.84 | $0.590 | $434.98 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC | buy | 735.93 | $0.590 | $434.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.670 | $999.5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?Yes | buy | 549.71 | $0.340 | $186.9 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over | sell | 763.15 | $0.999 | $762.39 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 852.73 | $0.510 | $434.89 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 763.16 | $0.570 | $435 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC | buy | 703.03 | $0.620 | $435.61 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC | buy | 1.04K | $0.490 | $511.55 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC | buy | 1.35K | $0.370 | $499.75 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.630 | $719.64 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 923.56 | $0.196 | $180.9 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC | buy | 1.45K | $0.360 | $521.33 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?Yes | buy | 809.8 | $0.660 | $534.47 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.620 | $890 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.