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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 482.9 | $0.118 | $110.58 | +$53.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.96 | $0.012 | $0.01 | 22m ago |
| No |
| 128.96 |
| $0.535 |
| $69.83 |
| +$0.87 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 176.35 | $0.488 | $59.08 | -$26.94 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | Yes | 1.99K | $0.019 | $48.67 | +$11.09 |
 Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 444.15 | $0.132 | $24.43 | -$34.05 |
 Will Chattanooga Red Wolves SC win on 2026-08-01? | Yes | 35.1 | $0.580 | $17.55 | -$2.81 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 446.55 | $0.070 | $16.97 | -$14.28 |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 237.12 | $0.420 | $15.06 | -$84.53 |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC O/U 1.5 | Over | 18.49 | $0.730 | $9.25 | -$4.25 |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC O/U 2.5 | Under | 17.85 | $0.720 | $9.1 | -$3.75 |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 21.95 | $0.230 | $8.8 | +$3.75 |
 Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? | Even | 14.59 | $0.510 | $7.29 | -$0.15 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | No | 32.81 | $0.265 | $7.22 | -$1.49 |
 Will Elche finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? | Yes | 96.79 | $0.866 | $6.29 | -$77.52 |
 FK Auda Riga vs. Ogre United: O/U 4.5 | Over | 11.54 | $0.280 | $5.77 | +$2.54 |
| FK Auda Riga vs. Ogre United: FK Auda Riga O/U 2.5 | Under | 10.22 | $0.500 | $5.11 | $0 |
| Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? | Odd | 7.61 | $0.510 | $3.8 | -$0.08 |
 Real Cartagena FC vs. Bogota FC: Bogota FC O/U 0.5 | Over | 7.67 | $0.540 | $3.64 | -$0.5 |
 Will Arsenal qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 209.65 | $0.110 | $2.2 | -$20.89 |
| Will Levante finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? | Yes | 18.78 | $0.879 | $1.41 | -$15.11 |
 Will Green Party (MP) win less than 5% of all valid votes? | Yes | 127.37 | $0.192 | $0.57 | -$23.9 |
| FK Auda Riga vs. Ogre United: O/U 1.5 | Over | 0.98 | $0.865 | $0.49 | -$0.36 |
| Will Ogre United win on 2026-08-03? | No | 0.61 | $0.920 | $0.28 | -$0.28 |
| FK Auda Riga vs. Ogre United: O/U 2.5 | Over | 0.31 | $0.690 | $0.15 | -$0.06 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.93 | $0.030 | $0.04 | -$0.14 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes| sell |
| 0.88 |
| $0.012 |
| $0.01 |
| 22m ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.006 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.006 | $0.04 | 23m ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.12 | $0.006 | $0.08 | 23m ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.25 | $0.006 | $0.17 | 23m ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 56.5 | $0.006 | $0.34 | 24m ago |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 1.5Under | sell | 1.97 | $0.100 | $0.2 | 45m ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Yes | sell | 238.89 | $0.011 | $2.63 | 45m ago |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 4.5Under | sell | 16.4 | $0.100 | $1.64 | 46m ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Yes | sell | 238.88 | $0.011 | $2.63 | 46m ago |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 1.5Under | sell | 23.91 | $0.146 | $3.48 | 46m ago |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 1.5Over | sell | 15.05 | $0.050 | $0.76 | 21h ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Yes | sell | 477.77 | $0.006 | $2.87 | 21h ago |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.96 | $0.009 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 2.5Under | sell | 33.82 | $0.101 | $3.41 | 1d ago |
 Will Christian Democrats (KD) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.006 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Christian Democrats (KD) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.006 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.006 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?No | sell | 4.32 | $0.480 | $2.07 | 1d ago |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.21 | $0.070 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.82 | $0.060 | $1.13 | 1d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 6.77 | $0.169 | $1.14 | 1d ago |
 Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.230 | $1.18 | 1d ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?No | sell | 10.32 | $0.114 | $1.18 | 1d ago |
 Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 30.1 | $0.025 | $0.74 | 1d ago |
 Will FK Chornomorets Odesa win on 2026-08-08?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.500 | $3.09 | 1d ago |
 Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?No | sell | 3.93 | $0.410 | $1.61 | 1d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.44 | $0.630 | $1.54 | 1d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.152 | $1.43 | 1d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.690 | $1.39 | 1d ago |
 Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.400 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
 Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.120 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
 Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.035 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 0.63 | $0.027 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.041 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
 Cambria listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.130 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
 Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.660 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.790 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
 Will Sinja Münzberg win the next Hannover Region presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.006 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.760 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?No | sell | 1.98 | $0.560 | $1.11 | 1d ago |
 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.690 | $1.02 | 1d ago |
 Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 12.25 | $0.080 | $0.98 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.54 | $0.100 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Will Levante finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?Yes | sell | 94.94 | $0.010 | $0.95 | 1d ago |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | sell | 8.47 | $0.119 | $1.01 | 1d ago |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | sell | 4.8 | $0.240 | $1.15 | 1d ago |
| Spread: FK Auda Riga (-1.5)Ogre United | sell | 3.04 | $0.010 | $0.03 | 1d ago |