Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 239.5 | $0.490 | $202.38 | +$85.02 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.158 | $4.27 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 46.14 |
| $0.566 |
| $39.1 |
| +$12.98 |
| buy |
| 27 |
| $0.169 |
| $4.56 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.41K | $0.031 | $291.71 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.33K | $0.028 | $316.71 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 46.14 | $0.566 | $26.13 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.14K | $0.998 | $22.09K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 5.42K | $0.999 | $5.42K | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 940.28 | $0.610 | $573.57 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.680 | $1.36K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.660 | $1.32K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 219.29 | $0.750 | $164.47 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.74K | $0.750 | $8.05K | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 822.16 | $0.760 | $624.84 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.390 | $390 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 395.11 | $0.959 | $378.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.982 | $1K | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 92.18 | $0.944 | $87.02 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 317.21 | $0.944 | $299.45 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 239.5 | $0.490 | $117.36 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 637.34 | $0.942 | $600.18 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 457.42 | $0.490 | $224.14 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 457.42 | $0.490 | $224.14 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 14.95 | $0.780 | $11.66 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 847.03 | $0.570 | $482.81 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?No | buy | 199.34 | $0.995 | $198.34 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.15K | $0.997 | $3.14K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 847.03 | $0.660 | $559.04 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 986.44 | $0.670 | $660.91 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.780 | $1.01K | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.030 | $35.37 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 6.5K | $0.967 | $6.28K | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.975 | $390 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.965 | $193 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | sell | 5.33K | $0.989 | $5.27K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.170 | $514.42 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.08K | $0.170 | $863.26 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.54K | $0.070 | $737.63 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.46K | $0.270 | $393.53 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.230 | $335.23 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.987 | $5.99 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 18.07K | $0.997 | $18.01K | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.930 | $1.1K | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 568.39 | $0.962 | $546.79 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 430.48 | $0.820 | $352.99 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 57.95 | $0.746 | $43.23 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 20.35 | $0.836 | $17.01 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 US defaults on debt in 2025?No | buy | 2.77 | $0.999 | $2.77 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 38 | $0.927 | $35.23 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 1K | $0.890 | $890 | Dec 26, 2025 |