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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 258 | $0.001 | $0.26 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 149.98 |
| $0.027 |
| $4.05 |
| Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 258 | $0.026 | $6.66 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.010 | $21.43 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 199 | $0.009 | $1.79 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?Yes | buy | 154.21 | $0.015 | $2.31 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.170 | $37.74 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.140 | $31.08 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.160 | $1.14 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 224.83 | $0.410 | $92.18 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?Yes | buy | 20.6 | $0.063 | $1.3 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.063 | $1.89 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 26.96 | $0.070 | $1.89 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?Yes | sell | 78.12 | $0.045 | $3.55 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 13-19?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.064 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19?Yes | buy | 338.63 | $0.059 | $20 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.053 | $0.1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19?Yes | buy | 75.47 | $0.053 | $4 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19?Yes | buy | 622.64 | $0.053 | $33 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun reach $0.010 before August?Yes | buy | 184.84 | $0.100 | $18.48 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $250 in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.051 | $5.1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.016 | $13.33 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 850.6 | $0.057 | $48.48 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.026 | $50.21 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 194.5 | $0.039 | $7.59 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 211 | $0.056 | $11.79 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 593 | $0.040 | $23.72 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 276.21 | $0.056 | $15.47 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.056 | $10 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 184.83 | $0.054 | $10 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.027 | $30 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.012 | $10 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.46K | $0.712 | $2.46K | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Pump.fun market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 341.39 | $0.007 | $2.39 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Pump.fun >$10B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 227.06 | $0.006 | $1.36 | Jul 15, 2025 |