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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 10.27 | $0.973 | $9.99 | -$0.01 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | 13d ago |
|
| No |
| 5.38 |
| $0.930 |
| $5.08 |
| +$0.08 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? | No | 5.13 | $0.975 | $4.82 | -$0.18 |
| buy |
| 5.38 |
| $0.930 |
| $5 |
| 13d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | 13d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.740 | $12.98 | 13d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 France vs. England: Team to WinEngland | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.98 | $0.994 | $13.9 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.974 | $5.46 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.969 | $8.55 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 6.82 | $0.997 | $6.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.950 | $6.33 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.13 | $0.986 | $5.06 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.971 | $6.63 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6PM ETUp | sell | 9.8 | $0.580 | $5.68 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 23.02 | $0.990 | $22.79 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 23.02 | $0.880 | $20.26 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 23.07 | $0.110 | $2.54 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.650 | $15 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on August 2 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.970 | $7.13 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on August 2 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on August 1?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 31 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?Up | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 31 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.210 | $4.56 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 31 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 30 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 30.76 | $0.999 | $30.73 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 30 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.910 | $28 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 30 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.300 | $1.72 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 30 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?Down | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?Up | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?Up | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on July 23?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.999 | $6.24 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on July 23?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on July 23?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 23?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jul 22, 2025 |