Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.8K | $0.500 | $2.12K | +$715.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | 17d ago |
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| Yes |
| 2.8K |
| $0.500 |
| $684.6 |
| -$715.4 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 287.5 | $0.763 | $245.81 | +$26.41 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 404.99 | $0.475 | $236.92 | +$44.32 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 200.01 | $0.930 | $187.01 | +$1 |
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 160 | $0.601 | $128.08 | +$31.92 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.795 | $94 | +$14.5 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.920 | $92.5 | +$0.5 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.880 | $92.5 | +$4.5 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 70 | $0.720 | $59.5 | +$9.1 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 57.06 | $0.868 | $50.5 | +$1 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.670 | $36.75 | +$3.25 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 32.99 | $0.952 | $31.81 | +$0.4 |
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.680 | $30.8 | +$3.6 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.920 | $27.75 | +$0.15 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.820 | $25.95 | +$1.35 |
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 30 | $0.876 | $24.54 | -$1.74 |
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 25 | $0.863 | $20.68 | -$0.89 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.985 | $19.8 | +$0.1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 29 | $0.697 | $19 | -$1.21 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 20.02 | $0.930 | $18.32 | -$0.3 |
Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 17.31 | $0.971 | $16.95 | +$0.15 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 17.61 | $0.918 | $16.74 | +$0.57 |
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 19 | $0.790 | $16.25 | +$1.24 |
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 18.29 | $0.820 | $14.27 | -$0.73 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.250 |
| $50 |
| 17d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | sell | 77.23 | $0.160 | $12.36 | 17d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | 17d ago |
| Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5 AND Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 0.5 | buy | 17.44 | $0.561 | $9.79 | 18d ago |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 6.55 | $0.230 | $1.51 | 20d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | sell | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | 21d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 90 | $0.647 | $58.22 | 23d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp AND Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs | sell | 25.39 | $0.489 | $12.42 | 24d ago |
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?No | buy | 14 | $0.750 | $10.5 | 24d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp AND Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs | buy | 25.39 | $0.382 | $9.7 | 24d ago |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.630 | $3.94 | 24d ago |
Perfect Order Booster Box Price Over/Under $165.41 on August 31?Over | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 25d ago |
Blooming Waters Premium Collection Price Over/Under $319.35 on August 31?Over | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 25d ago |
Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $169.63 on August 31?Over | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 25d ago |
Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,277.63 on August 31?Over | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 25d ago |
Will Gen.G Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 26d ago |
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupT1 | sell | 10 | $0.645 | $6.45 | 26d ago |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | 26d ago |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 26d ago |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.042 | $2.92 | 27d ago |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.29 | $0.965 | $8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 6.26 | $0.959 | $6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 9.35 | $0.856 | $8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.330 | $4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.82 | $0.846 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 8.43 | $0.830 | $7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.830 | $4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.673 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.899 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.49 | $0.935 | $7 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.610 | $4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.120 | $1.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.120 | $1.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.160 | $1.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots | buy | 13.9 | $0.348 | $4.84 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | buy | 10.04 | $0.485 | $4.87 | Jul 19, 2026 |