Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 19.29 | $0.960 | $18.52 | Apr 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 19.29 |
| $0.770 |
| $14.85 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 18.8 | $0.790 | $14.85 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 18.81 | $0.780 | $14.67 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 14.92 | $0.983 | $14.67 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.810 | $12.09 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.65 | $0.330 | $12.09 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.65 | $0.400 | $14.66 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.55 | $0.650 | $14.66 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.55 | $0.670 | $15.11 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 45.78 | $0.330 | $15.11 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 45.79 | $0.420 | $19.23 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 44.72 | $0.430 | $19.23 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 44.72 | $0.470 | $21.02 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 53.9 | $0.390 | $21.02 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 53.9 | $0.398 | $21.46 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 32.52 | $0.660 | $21.46 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 32.52 | $0.620 | $20.16 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 33.05 | $0.610 | $20.16 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.05 | $0.610 | $20.16 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 34.17 | $0.590 | $20.16 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 34.17 | $0.520 | $17.77 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 52.04 | $0.341 | $17.77 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 52.04 | $0.500 | $26.02 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 40.03 | $0.650 | $26.02 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 40.03 | $0.660 | $26.42 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 41.28 | $0.640 | $26.42 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 41.28 | $0.610 | $25.18 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 44.96 | $0.560 | $25.18 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 44.96 | $0.560 | $25.18 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 32.43 | $0.690 | $22.38 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.700 | $2.8 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 32.43 | $0.650 | $21.08 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 91.66 | $0.230 | $21.08 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.700 | $2.8 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 91.67 | $0.240 | $22 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 48.63 | $0.510 | $24.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 48.64 | $0.470 | $22.86 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.686 | $22.86 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 42.67 | $0.469 | $20 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 42.68 | $0.400 | $17.07 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?No | sell | 31.6 | $0.540 | $17.06 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 31.61 | $0.410 | $12.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.240 | $12.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.240 | $12.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 22.35 | $0.580 | $12.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 22.35 | $0.540 | $12.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.43 | $0.410 | $12.07 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.44 | $0.379 | $11.15 | Apr 15, 2026 |