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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 16.4 | $0.100 | $1.64 | Apr 26, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 28.57 |
| $0.035 |
| $1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.050 | $0.83 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.031 | $0.97 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.070 | $0.64 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 73.37 | $0.014 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Champion of Coal event?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | sell | 2.6 | $0.020 | $0.05 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | sell | 3.94 | $0.960 | $3.78 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 2.56 | $0.380 | $0.97 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | sell | 3.71 | $0.410 | $1.52 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | sell | 4.8 | $0.450 | $2.16 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.74 | $0.410 | $1.94 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | sell | 6.15 | $0.350 | $2.15 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 3.66 | $0.530 | $1.94 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 6.06 | $0.480 | $2.91 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETUp | sell | 3.93 | $0.960 | $3.77 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | sell | 3.86 | $0.070 | $0.27 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.8 | $0.510 | $1.94 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | sell | 19.97 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.96 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.98 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Feb 11, 2026 |