Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.11K | $0.500 | $987.12 | +$431.62 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 1.23K | $0.500 | $617 | 6d ago |
 |
gemini10 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,060,805 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$2.06K observed lifetime PnL, 29 distinct markets, 27 resolved positions, a 29.6% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x7f511fb4531b80f851aa656624aeb9f91f2c4530
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 352.58 |
| $0.450 |
| $171 |
| +$12.34 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.780 | $141 | -$15 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.500 | $123.88 | -$431.62 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.620 | $56 | -$6 |
| sell |
| 1.23K |
| $0.480 |
| $591.84 |
| 6d ago |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 102 | $0.994 | $101.39 | 6d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.510 | $629.34 | 22d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.500 | $616.5 | 22d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.38 | $0.650 | $34.05 | 22d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.370 | $2.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.370 | $2.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.051 | $71.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Yes | sell | 1.92K | $0.060 | $115.48 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 300 | $0.081 | $24.3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 549.99 | $0.240 | $132 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 223 | $0.220 | $49.06 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22?Up | sell | 2.95 | $0.240 | $0.71 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 942.55 | $0.055 | $51.84 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22?Up | sell | 207 | $0.320 | $66.24 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 242.26 | $0.250 | $60.57 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 28.5 | $0.260 | $7.41 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 831.64 | $0.290 | $241.18 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 41.91 | $0.060 | $2.51 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 800 | $0.070 | $56 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 503.85 | $0.050 | $25.19 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.290 | $20.3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 186.26 | $0.330 | $61.47 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 2.01K | $0.040 | $80.51 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 1.21K | $0.330 | $398.88 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 600 | $0.050 | $30 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 600 | $0.200 | $120 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 690 | $0.070 | $48.3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.360 | $108.01 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 304.11 | $0.350 | $106.44 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 400 | $0.090 | $36 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.360 | $144 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | sell | 49.84 | $0.150 | $7.48 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | buy | 49.84 | $0.150 | $7.48 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.696 | $6.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 258.56 | $0.005 | $1.29 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 243.05 | $0.187 | $45.47 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.82K | $0.173 | $660.17 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.09K | $0.008 | $16.74 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 7.05K | $0.008 | $56.41 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.71K | $0.984 | $1.68K | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.4K | $0.009 | $84.62 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 6.1%?No | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 102 | $0.997 | $101.69 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.71K | $0.983 | $1.68K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 3.42K | $0.986 | $3.37K | May 19, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 352.58 | $0.450 | $158.66 | May 19, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.