Latest trade
Feb 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 5:01 PM UTC.
Analytics
Violet-Decisionmaking is down $12.37 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 20 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 5:01 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 44 trades covered 35 markets; 79.5% were buys. They run from Jan 23, 2026 UTC to Feb 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 12.5 | $0.400 | $11.25 | +$6.25 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.6 | $0.300 | $2.28 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-09 12:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 17:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
44 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 17:01 UTC
polymarket positions
22 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 12:08 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.75 and losing ones cost $1.92 across 20 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.33 on “Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.97 on “Will Trump shake hands with Aleksandar Vučić at the World Economic Forum?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Feb 2026. It has traded 35 markets. Its open positions are worth $17.59 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5.56 |
| $0.900 |
| $5.44 |
| +$0.44 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 7.6 | $0.300 | $0.06 | -$2.22 |
| buy |
| 1.59 |
| $0.630 |
| $1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.930 | $0.99 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 11.18 | $0.280 | $3.13 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.936 | $0.97 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?No | buy | 6.77 | $0.730 | $4.94 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.900 | $4.94 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.979 | $1.14 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?Yes | sell | 8.82 | $0.130 | $1.15 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.170 | $1.5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?No | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 23?No | sell | 125 | $0.004 | $0.5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?No | buy | 228.12 | $0.014 | $3.13 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump shake hands with Aleksandar Vučić at the World Economic Forum?Yes | sell | 4.18 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.920 | $7.31 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump shake hands with Aleksandar Vučić at the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 4.18 | $0.239 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 23?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Diana ShnaiderShnaider | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.