Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
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Pilypas.lt is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,496,068 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$69.35 observed lifetime PnL, 57 distinct markets, 46 resolved positions, a 54.3% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x7d5c827f6fc91ae0b5462615746120c2c368fc40
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 12.5 |
| $0.080 |
| $1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | sell | 1.05 | $0.990 | $1.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | sell | 3.33 | $0.510 | $1.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 7.63 | $0.260 | $1.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | sell | 55.72 | $0.020 | $1.11 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 55.72 | $0.430 | $23.96 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 130.23 | $0.192 | $25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | sell | 49.99 | $0.990 | $49.49 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.850 | $17.71 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.043 | $0.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.106 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 24.38 | $0.041 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.490 | $15.31 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.008 | $0.57 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | May 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 15.78 | $0.820 | $12.94 | May 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 20.4 | $0.820 | $16.73 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?No | sell | 3.55 | $0.080 | $0.28 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 204.2 | $0.049 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown | sell | 16.32 | $0.870 | $14.2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown | buy | 16.33 | $0.490 | $8 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETDown | sell | 26.67 | $0.990 | $26.4 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETDown | sell | 10.25 | $0.860 | $8.82 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 10.26 | $0.780 | $8 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown | buy | 32.25 | $0.320 | $10.32 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 50.92 | $0.190 | $9.67 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETDown | sell | 30.05 | $0.990 | $29.75 | May 3, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.