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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 12, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 5.88 |
| $0.170 |
| $1 |
| Jun 12, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?No | buy | 35 | $0.015 | $0.53 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before July?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
DeepSeek R2 released before July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | May 31, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.790 | $1.61 | May 7, 2025 |
Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 6.42 | $0.230 | $1.48 | May 7, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | sell | 110.9 | $0.021 | $2.33 | May 7, 2025 |
Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 5, 2025 |
Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | May 4, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.9% on May 2?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.310 | $1.48 | May 2, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Trump approval >40% on June 1?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
US-China trade deal before June?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
NDP member appointed to the Canadian cabinet?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.092 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.9% on May 2?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
Supreme Court unblocks Alien Enemies Act?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
US-China trade deal before June?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.929 | $11.32 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 58.5 | $0.340 | $19.89 | Apr 4, 2025 |