Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.22 | $0.046 | $1.39 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.25 |
| $0.990 |
| $1.24 |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.999 | $1.34 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 289.79 | $0.630 | $182.57 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.83 | $0.012 | $1.09 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 155.57 | $0.985 | $153.24 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.84 | $0.077 | $4.3 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 175.63 | $0.977 | $171.59 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 217.75 | $0.600 | $130.65 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.18 | $0.952 | $7.79 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 217.75 | $0.680 | $148.07 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?No | buy | 185.46 | $0.994 | $184.35 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 161 | $0.995 | $160.2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 161 | $0.996 | $160.36 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 114.53 | $0.988 | $113.16 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 205.29 | $0.017 | $3.49 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 148.41 | $0.996 | $147.82 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 148.42 | $0.997 | $147.97 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 188.51 | $0.994 | $187.38 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 188.51 | $0.995 | $187.57 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 163.78 | $0.997 | $163.29 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 475–499 times June 6–13?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.999 | $13.32 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 163.79 | $0.998 | $163.46 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 162.76 | $0.997 | $162.27 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 162.77 | $0.998 | $162.44 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 166.2 | $0.996 | $165.54 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.996 | $7.06 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 166.21 | $0.997 | $165.71 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 152.13 | $0.991 | $150.76 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.999 | $8.27 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 152.13 | $0.992 | $150.91 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 145.81 | $0.997 | $145.37 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 145.81 | $0.998 | $145.52 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.975 | $3.09 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 158.14 | $0.992 | $156.87 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 158.15 | $0.993 | $157.04 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 11.57 | $0.999 | $11.56 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.997 | $4.29 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 154.07 | $0.998 | $153.76 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 141.44 | $0.991 | $140.17 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.992 | $11.58 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 141.45 | $0.994 | $140.6 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 141.35 | $0.994 | $140.5 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 3.87 | $0.999 | $3.87 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 141.36 | $0.996 | $140.79 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?No | sell | 185.77 | $0.998 | $185.42 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?No | buy | 9.11 | $0.999 | $9.1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?No | buy | 185.78 | $0.999 | $185.59 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 36.67 | $0.997 | $36.56 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Apr 30, 2025 |