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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026? | No | 204.38 | $0.060 | $6.34 | -$5.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 7.84 | $0.760 | $5.96 | 5h ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.84 |
| $0.760 |
| $6.15 |
| +$0.2 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | No | 9.92 | $0.610 | $6 | -$0.05 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | No | 7.02 | $0.860 | $5.93 | -$0.11 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6.94 | $0.870 | $5.73 | -$0.31 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 8.51 | $0.704 | $5.7 | -$0.29 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 79.74 | $0.059 | $4.19 | -$0.55 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 18.88 | $0.081 | $2.81 | +$1.29 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 48.87 | $0.058 | $1.73 | -$1.1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 7.66 | $0.240 | $1.03 | -$0.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? | No | 21.57 | $0.070 | $0.83 | -$0.68 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 7.57 | $0.200 | $0.21 | -$1.31 |
| buy |
| 9.92 |
| $0.610 |
| $6.05 |
| 6h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.704 | $5.99 | 19h ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.860 | $6.04 | 20h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.870 | $6.04 | 20h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 17.16 | $0.134 | $2.3 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 17.16 | $0.089 | $1.53 | 8d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.24 | $0.400 | $2.1 | 10d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.37 | $0.068 | $1.52 | 15d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 7.32 | $0.360 | $2.64 | 17d ago |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.239 | $1.35 | 27d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.230 | $1.68 | 27d ago |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 48.87 | $0.058 | $2.83 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 51.97 | $0.059 | $3.07 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 5.8 | $0.574 | $3.33 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.307 | $1.64 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.57 | $0.200 | $1.51 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | sell | 18.77 | $0.029 | $0.54 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.26 | $0.092 | $0.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 17.67 | $0.035 | $0.62 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Yes | buy | 6.3 | $0.232 | $1.46 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.258 | $1.51 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.246 | $1.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.268 | $1.82 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.136 | $1.26 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.257 | $1.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.259 | $1.81 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.180 | $0.92 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.070 | $0.43 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No | buy | 7.66 | $0.240 | $1.84 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.117 | $0.81 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | buy | 18.77 | $0.090 | $1.69 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.239 | $1.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes | buy | 25.38 | $0.060 | $1.52 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.219 | $1.52 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.250 | $1.27 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 13.33 | $0.980 | $13.06 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.3 | $0.890 | $4.72 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.160 | $9.41 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 43.48 | $0.160 | $6.96 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.570 | $8.64 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.300 | $3.23 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.37 | $0.480 | $3.06 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.090 | $5.29 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.080 | $4.71 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.090 | $5.29 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 37.04 | $0.080 | $2.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.790 | $5.03 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.67 | $0.180 | $6.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.112 | $4.86 | Jun 12, 2026 |