Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 250.83 | $0.120 | $4.14 | -$25.86 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 246.36 | $0.330 | $81.3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 166.67 |
| $0.120 |
| $20 |
| Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.44K | $0.070 | $101.3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.22 | $0.023 | $1.04 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?Yes | buy | 178.77 | $0.224 | $40 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.176 | $54.49 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Germany join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 253.13 | $0.158 | $40 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 729.31 | $0.137 | $100 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 250.83 | $0.120 | $30 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 169.51 | $0.018 | $3 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 999 | $0.003 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 999 | $0.050 | $49.95 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.42K | $0.008 | $18.92 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 874.52 | $0.023 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.038 | $40 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 489.98 | $0.041 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | sell | 417.95 | $0.266 | $111.03 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 417.96 | $0.356 | $148.77 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.99K | $0.023 | $45.92 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.99K | $0.033 | $65.25 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 942 | $0.081 | $76.38 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.077 | $120 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.044 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 238.38 | $0.190 | $45.29 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 339 | $0.545 | $184.88 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 923.68 | $0.013 | $12.01 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.070 | $11.67 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 923.68 | $0.038 | $35 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 339 | $0.295 | $100 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 379.84 | $0.053 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 127.27 | $0.110 | $14 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 793.85 | $0.081 | $64 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | buy | 75.89 | $0.280 | $21.25 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 17?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.091 | $8.19 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.991 | $43.6 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?Yes | buy | 964.26 | $0.004 | $3.86 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 44.5% on October 10?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Prince Andrew be named in the Epstein survivors' list?Yes | buy | 78.06 | $0.256 | $20 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 10?Yes | buy | 396.08 | $0.033 | $13.07 | Oct 10, 2025 |