Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 3.7 | $0.040 | $2.62 | +$2.47 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 32.7 | $0.780 | $25.51 | Apr 19, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.68 |
| $0.102 |
| $1.17 |
| +$0.89 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | Yes | 1.06 | $0.057 | $1.02 | +$0.96 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.102 | $0.62 | +$0.34 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | Yes | 4.11 | $0.102 | $0.51 | +$0.09 |
 Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.45 | $0.120 | $0.49 | +$0.2 |
 Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | Yes | 3.46 | $0.133 | $0.44 | -$0.02 |
 Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | 3.66 | $0.070 | $0.22 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.070 | $0.17 | -$0.18 |
 Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next? | Yes | 3.97 | $0.113 | $0.14 | -$0.31 |
 Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.31 | $0.061 | $0.14 | -$0 |
 Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 1.46 | $0.152 | $0.11 | -$0.12 |
 Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.160 | $0.08 | -$0.12 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.083 | $0.08 | -$0.13 |
 Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.052 | $0.07 | +$0.01 |
 Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 1 | $0.089 | $0.05 | -$0.04 |
 Will Blake Butera win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | Yes | 5 | $0.072 | $0.05 | -$0.31 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.24 | $0.160 | $0.02 | -$0.18 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 1.4 | $0.142 | $0.01 | -$0.19 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.48 | $0.086 | $0.01 | -$0.12 |
 Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | Yes | 5 | $0.110 | $0.01 | -$0.54 |
 Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.73 | $0.180 | $0.01 | -$0.13 |
 Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.028 | $0 | -$0.14 |
 Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | Yes | 4.97 | $0.050 | $0 | -$0.25 |
 Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.044 | $0 | -$0.05 |
| buy |
| 32.71 |
| $0.782 |
| $25.56 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.6 | $0.430 | $0.26 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.590 | $0.45 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 3.28 | $0.730 | $2.39 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.037 | $0.19 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.962 | $4.81 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.036 | $0.18 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.036 | $0.18 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.036 | $0.18 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.963 | $4.81 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.036 | $0.18 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.963 | $4.81 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.961 | $4.81 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.963 | $4.81 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.034 | $0.17 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.963 | $4.81 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.031 | $0.16 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.961 | $4.81 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.961 | $4.81 | Mar 20, 2026 |