Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $2.77 | +$1.77 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.04 |
| $0.490 |
| $1.7 |
| +$0.7 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.21 | $0.827 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.54 | $0.650 | $0.73 | -$0.27 |
| buy |
| 1.22 |
| $0.820 |
| $1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.802 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Grok 4.4 released by July 10?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 8?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 17?No | buy | 30.09 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $90 in July?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.808 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.974 | $1.02 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.884 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.827 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 26.17 | $0.998 | $26.12 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 26.18 | $0.955 | $25 | Jul 1, 2026 |