Latest trade
Dec 23, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 12:40 AM UTC.
Stained-Probability is down $56.95 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 3 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-12-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 23, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 12:40 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 18 trades covered 5 markets; 72.2% were buys. They run from Dec 9, 2025 UTC to Dec 23, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 405.5 | $0.200 | $81.1 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-12-23 19:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 00:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
18 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 00:40 UTC
polymarket positions
5 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-12-23 19:16 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $24.6 and losing ones cost $0.59 across 3 settled positions.
The largest win was $22.67 on “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?” (No); the largest loss, $0.59 on “Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Dec 2025. It has traded 5 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.200 |
| $10 |
| Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 102.63 | $0.360 | $36.95 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 21?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.160 | $9.41 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 123.39 | $0.350 | $43.19 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 16?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.680 | $21.93 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.980 | $32.66 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 16?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.