Latest trade
Jan 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:37 AM UTC.
Analytics
Scared-Measure has made $1.2 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 25 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:37 AM UTC.
$4.69 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 17 markets; 50.0% were buys. They run from Jan 18, 2026 UTC to Jan 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10AM ETUp | sell | 3.59 | $0.180 | $0.65 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-20 16:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 00:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 00:37 UTC
polymarket positions
27 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-20 16:08 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $39 and losing ones cost $21.59 across 25 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.99 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4PM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $16.09 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Jan 2026. It has traded 26 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 6.66 |
| $0.830 |
| $5.52 |
| Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10AM ETUp | buy | 3.59 | $0.710 | $2.55 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ETDown | sell | 8.14 | $0.999 | $8.13 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ETDown | buy | 8.14 | $0.910 | $7.41 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ETUp | sell | 1.7 | $0.140 | $0.24 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ETUp | sell | 35.6 | $0.201 | $7.17 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ETUp | buy | 37.3 | $0.630 | $23.5 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8AM ETDown | sell | 23.52 | $0.999 | $23.5 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8AM ETDown | buy | 23.52 | $0.960 | $22.58 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4PM ETDown | sell | 22.6 | $0.999 | $22.58 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4PM ETDown | buy | 22.59 | $0.790 | $17.85 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4PM ETDown | sell | 16.12 | $0.450 | $7.25 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4PM ETDown | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3PM ETUp | sell | 15.76 | $0.990 | $15.6 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3PM ETUp | buy | 3.3 | $0.890 | $2.94 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3PM ETDown | sell | 14.7 | $0.200 | $2.94 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3PM ETUp | buy | 12.46 | $0.760 | $9.47 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3PM ETDown | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 14.26 | $0.600 | $8.56 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1PM ETUp | sell | 19.79 | $0.271 | $5.37 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1PM ETUp | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12PM ETDown | sell | 13.45 | $0.999 | $13.44 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12PM ETDown | buy | 13.45 | $0.730 | $9.82 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12PM ETDown | sell | 0.19 | $0.670 | $0.13 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12PM ETDown | sell | 6.06 | $0.450 | $2.73 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12PM ETDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11AM ETUp | sell | 5.02 | $0.999 | $5.01 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11AM ETUp | buy | 5.03 | $0.919 | $4.62 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9AM ETDown | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ETUp | sell | 7.69 | $0.060 | $0.46 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ETUp | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4PM ETDown | sell | 5.88 | $0.470 | $2.76 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4PM ETDown | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3PM ETDown | sell | 6.33 | $0.999 | $6.32 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3PM ETDown | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3PM ETDown | sell | 6.45 | $0.490 | $3.16 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3PM ETDown | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3PM ETUp | sell | 13.79 | $0.390 | $5.38 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3PM ETUp | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2PM ETUp | sell | 11.42 | $0.440 | $5.02 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2PM ETUp | buy | 11.43 | $0.350 | $4 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ETDown | sell | 1.4 | $0.220 | $0.31 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ETDown | sell | 7.69 | $0.280 | $2.15 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ETUp | sell | 5.71 | $0.820 | $4.68 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ETUp | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12PM ETUp | sell | 4.7 | $0.999 | $4.7 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12PM ETUp | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12PM ETDown | sell | 4.32 | $0.340 | $1.47 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.