Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.52 |
| $0.660 |
| $1 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 96.54 | $0.916 | $88.43 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.940 | $79.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 86.39 | $0.934 | $80.67 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.39 | $0.763 | $65.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 66.3 | $0.920 | $61 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 IR Iran?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 IR Iran?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.120 | $4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | buy | 38.63 | $0.388 | $15 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 64.2 | $0.914 | $58.68 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 64.2 | $0.919 | $59 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.930 | $20.46 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | buy | 31.56 | $0.475 | $15 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 32.68 | $0.670 | $21.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.520 | $11.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.420 | $9.24 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.902 | $9.02 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.955 | $9.55 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.372 | $7.43 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 9.85 | $0.750 | $7.39 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.640 | $6.22 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.088 | $3.52 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 20?Yes | buy | 9.96 | $0.960 | $9.56 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?Yes | buy | 18.85 | $0.280 | $5.28 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 7.87 | $0.510 | $4.01 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 12.43 | $0.360 | $4.47 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.51 | $0.470 | $4.47 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 9.17 | $0.490 | $4.49 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp | buy | 21.5 | $0.340 | $7.31 | Apr 8, 2026 |