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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.021 | $0.84 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 826.01 |
| $0.018 |
| $14.87 |
| Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90K | $0.009 | $810 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.021 | $4.26 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?Yes | buy | 675 | $0.008 | $5.4 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.035 | $94.5 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 970 | $0.090 | $87.3 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 53K | $0.008 | $424 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.026 | $23.4 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 133.42K | $0.008 | $1.07K | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.024 | $11.04 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 988 | $0.021 | $20.75 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.8K | $0.013 | $205.4 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.012 | $21.82 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.6K | $0.009 | $239.4 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 950 | $0.050 | $47.5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25K | $0.008 | $49.96 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.018 | $38.25 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 817.55 | $0.017 | $13.9 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.016 | $46.82 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.150 | $39 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.019 | $15.2 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.34K | $0.018 | $114.06 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.019 | $49.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 379.65 | $0.018 | $6.83 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.3K | $0.018 | $113.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.2K | $0.010 | $102 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.012 | $42 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.008 | $40 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 35K | $0.001 | $35 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.014 | $2.94 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 47K | $0.003 | $141 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.140 | $144.2 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.4K | $0.003 | $10.2 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.081 | $18.63 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.190 | $8.64 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.003 | $75 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.015 | $60 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.028 | $0.28 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $40 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 267.7 | $0.110 | $29.45 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.75K | $0.024 | $161.96 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.028 | $8.68 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.027 | $1.43 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.021 | $12.6 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?Yes | sell | 2.1K | $0.010 | $21.92 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.3K | $0.022 | $94.6 | Jun 9, 2025 |