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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | No | 4.51K | $0.660 | $3.9K | +$924.35 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?No | buy | 4.37K | $0.654 | $2.86K | 2d ago |
|
| buy |
| 140.17 |
| $0.837 |
| $117.34 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.24K | $0.920 | $2.98K | 2d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 406.44 | $0.485 | $197.14 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 231.66 | $0.851 | $197.14 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.371 | $436.68 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 355.66 | $0.920 | $327.21 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.912 | $109.47 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 507.09 | $0.350 | $177.48 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.329 | $377.45 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.994 | $198.73 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?No | sell | 179.1 | $0.998 | $178.71 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 214.12 | $0.740 | $158.45 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 231.36 | $0.685 | $158.45 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 141.54 | $0.740 | $104.74 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 57.73 | $0.704 | $40.64 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 66.66 | $0.962 | $64.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 231.67 | $0.720 | $166.8 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 333.71 | $0.817 | $272.63 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?No | sell | 279.23 | $0.976 | $272.63 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 166.8 | $0.707 | $117.93 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Yes | sell | 249.36 | $0.219 | $54.72 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes | sell | 516.94 | $0.122 | $63.21 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Yes | buy | 249.36 | $0.756 | $188.57 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Yes | sell | 202.53 | $0.931 | $188.57 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes | buy | 516.95 | $0.618 | $319.66 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 275.14 | $0.727 | $200 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Yes | sell | 227.11 | $0.439 | $99.66 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | sell | 542.13 | $0.940 | $509.6 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 57.73 | $0.586 | $33.81 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?No | buy | 179.1 | $0.670 | $120 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.570 | $150 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | sell | 196.07 | $0.541 | $106.14 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?No | buy | 230.23 | $0.869 | $200 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 542.14 | $0.885 | $480 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Yes | buy | 227.11 | $0.440 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.900 | $72 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Yes | buy | 102.53 | $0.852 | $87.37 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.140 | $2.5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.150 | $2.5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 8.66 | $0.500 | $4.33 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 16.14 | $0.310 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.55 | $0.600 | $30.33 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | sell | 247.63 | $0.951 | $235.54 | Feb 19, 2026 |