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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.7 | $0.043 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 94 | $0.870 | $81.78 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 51 |
| $0.870 |
| $44.37 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.070 | $4.34 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.080 | $6.24 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 108 | $0.680 | $73.44 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.590 | $44.25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 188 | $0.029 | $5.45 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.860 | $36.98 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 107 | $0.899 | $96.19 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 70 | $0.840 | $58.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 181 | $0.240 | $43.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 181 | $0.250 | $45.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.820 | $46.74 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.140 | $9.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.450 | $48.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 116.55 | $0.450 | $52.45 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.140 | $21.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.230 | $22.54 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 171 | $0.270 | $46.17 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.320 | $54.72 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 116 | $0.963 | $111.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 68.3 | $0.047 | $3.21 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.043 | $7.14 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.044 | $4.49 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.014 | $1.55 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.015 | $2.55 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 171 | $0.610 | $104.31 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.610 | $104.31 | May 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 150 | $0.700 | $105 | May 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.690 | $103.5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.310 | $35.65 | May 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.310 | $35.65 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.73 | $0.590 | $25.8 | May 24, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 101 | $0.979 | $98.88 | May 24, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 101 | $0.979 | $98.88 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.040 | $3.28 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.039 | $3.2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 142 | $0.700 | $99.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.026 | $0.36 | May 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.051 | $4.28 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 4 | $0.998 | $3.99 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 6 | $0.973 | $5.84 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.839 | $5.03 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?No | buy | 41 | $0.610 | $25.01 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?No | sell | 36 | $0.700 | $25.2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.952 | $4.76 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.014 | $1.25 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 14 | $0.994 | $13.92 | Nov 19, 2025 |