Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 208.44 | $0.830 | $173.01 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 644.44 |
| $0.090 |
| $58 |
| May 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | May 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | May 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.011 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?No | buy | 90.46 | $0.995 | $90 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.070 | $21 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Yes | sell | 201.39 | $0.560 | $112.78 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 208.45 | $0.888 | $185 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?Yes | sell | 435.82 | $0.055 | $23.86 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.101 | $6.31 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?Yes | buy | 15.61 | $0.064 | $1 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 201.39 | $0.343 | $69 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.63 | $0.400 | $9.05 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 26.34 | $0.981 | $25.84 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.250 | $16.67 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 54.35 | $0.092 | $5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 26.34 | $0.949 | $25 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce tariffs on Japan on April 2?No | buy | 34.32 | $0.583 | $20 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 381.48 | $0.026 | $10 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.017 | $10 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?Yes | buy | 760 | $0.013 | $10 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.010 | $10 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.63 | $0.442 | $10 | Mar 28, 2025 |