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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 457.93 | $0.855 | $428.17 | +$36.63 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | 11h ago |
|
| No |
| 289.2 |
| $0.934 |
| $277.77 |
| +$7.77 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 53.76 | $0.930 | $49.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 45.45 | $0.880 | $43.7 | +$3.7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 34.48 | $0.870 | $29.48 | -$0.52 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.64 | $0.780 | $19.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 38.89 | $0.514 | $18.08 | -$1.92 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.89 | $0.402 | $12.51 | +$2.51 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 11.82 | $0.846 | $11.12 | +$1.12 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.13 | $0.398 | $10.58 | +$0.58 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10.23 | +$0.23 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 11.98 | $0.835 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
| buy |
| 34.48 |
| $0.870 |
| $30 |
| 11h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | 11h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 5d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.13 | $0.398 | $10 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.82 | $0.846 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.502 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 24.69 | $0.039 | $0.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 31.5 | $0.317 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.405 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.27 | $0.275 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 11.98 | $0.835 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 24.89 | $0.402 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 47.11 | $0.849 | $40 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 11.56 | $0.173 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 28.01 | $0.357 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |