Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.056 | $1.85 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 11.71 |
| $0.800 |
| $9.37 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.810 | $43.74 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.290 | $23.78 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 42 | $0.953 | $40.03 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 38 | $0.580 | $22.04 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 76 | $0.580 | $44.08 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.500 | $21 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.970 | $12.61 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.958 | $12.45 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 45 | $0.957 | $43.07 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.530 | $2.12 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 72 | $0.530 | $38.16 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.520 | $11.44 | May 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.972 | $41.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.969 | $41.67 | May 30, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.015 | $0.59 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.211 | $14.14 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.923 | $40.61 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.560 | $22.96 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.560 | $25.2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.772 | $37.06 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.810 | $37.26 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.936 | $41.18 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 35 | $0.954 | $33.39 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 35 | $0.955 | $33.43 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 8 | $0.998 | $7.98 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.899 | $1.48 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean election?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.986 | $1.9 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.990 | $1.54 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?No | sell | 12 | $0.937 | $11.24 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 18–25?No | sell | 43.01 | $0.992 | $42.67 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 18–25?No | buy | 86 | $0.987 | $84.88 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?No | sell | 9 | $0.895 | $8.06 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?No | sell | 64 | $0.992 | $63.49 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 8 | $0.975 | $7.8 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 30 | $0.221 | $6.63 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 36 | $0.991 | $35.68 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 57 | $0.987 | $56.26 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 102 | $0.990 | $100.98 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?No | buy | 12 | $0.905 | $10.86 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.990 | $1.86 | Apr 21, 2025 |