Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 110.32 | $0.979 | $108 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.15K |
| $0.990 |
| $1.14K |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.991 | $1.14K | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.998 | $1.14K | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.999 | $1.14K | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in November?No | buy | 56.06 | $0.999 | $56 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.995 | $1.16K | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.995 | $1.16K | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.996 | $1.16K | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.997 | $1.16K | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $350 in October?No | buy | 59.06 | $0.999 | $59 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.08K | $0.998 | $1.08K | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.999 | $1.08K | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.08K | $0.998 | $1.08K | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.999 | $1.08K | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.09K | $0.987 | $1.08K | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.988 | $1.08K | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?Down | buy | 45.83 | $0.720 | $33 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?Up | buy | 59.62 | $0.520 | $31 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 36.19 | $0.880 | $31.85 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 36.18 | $0.940 | $34 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.933 | $1K | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.941 | $1.01K | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.968 | $1.01K | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.978 | $1.02K | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.956 | $1.02K | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.965 | $1.03K | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | sell | 101 | $0.997 | $100.7 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 126.03 | $0.998 | $125.78 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 12.8 | $0.960 | $12.29 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 210.66 | $0.948 | $199.71 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 210.66 | $0.949 | $199.92 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 210.89 | $0.948 | $199.92 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 210.89 | $0.949 | $200.13 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 211.1 | $0.948 | $200.12 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 211.11 | $0.949 | $200.34 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 0.4 | $0.994 | $0.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 0.78 | $0.961 | $0.75 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.62 | $0.810 | $0.5 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 18.56 | $0.485 | $9 | Oct 6, 2024 |