Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 22.61 | $0.999 | $22.59 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.45 |
| $0.998 |
| $2.45 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 20.39 | $0.998 | $20.35 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.94 | $0.999 | $26.91 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 21.25 | $0.999 | $21.23 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 11.68 | $0.999 | $11.67 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 32.62 | $0.999 | $32.59 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 22.28 | $0.998 | $22.24 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 23.32 | $0.998 | $23.27 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.999 | $25.97 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No | buy | 30.55 | $0.999 | $30.52 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 174 | $0.010 | $1.74 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.02 | $0.998 | $25.97 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.79 | $0.950 | $6.45 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.997 | $1.34 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.991 | $11.19 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 20.62 | $0.974 | $20.08 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.21 | $0.974 | $8.97 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.87 | $0.940 | $4.58 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.92 | $0.051 | $2.75 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.49 | $0.047 | $1.48 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.991 | $5.07 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.77 | $0.950 | $25.43 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?Yes | buy | 570.79 | $0.330 | $188.36 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?No | buy | 191.58 | $0.983 | $188.41 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 201.53 | $0.994 | $200.32 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 201.54 | $0.995 | $200.53 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 149.41 | $0.017 | $2.54 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 206.53 | $0.977 | $201.78 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 189.98 | $0.997 | $189.41 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 189.99 | $0.998 | $189.61 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 205.54 | $0.997 | $204.92 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 205.54 | $0.998 | $205.13 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 216.91 | $0.997 | $216.26 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.985 | $2.83 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 216.9 | $0.998 | $216.47 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 157.07 | $0.995 | $156.28 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 157.08 | $0.996 | $156.45 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 158.37 | $0.997 | $157.89 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.984 | $9.87 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 158.38 | $0.998 | $158.06 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No | buy | 14.65 | $0.999 | $14.64 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 177.38 | $0.997 | $176.85 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 177.38 | $0.998 | $177.03 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 176.46 | $0.996 | $175.75 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.898 | $2.04 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 176.47 | $0.996 | $175.76 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 177.51 | $0.992 | $176.09 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 16–23?No | buy | 6.48 | $0.999 | $6.47 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 177.52 | $0.994 | $176.45 | May 19, 2025 |