Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
This cohort does not include historical position rows. The independent provider snapshot above shows separately available positions.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?No | buy | 55.65K | $0.999 | $55.6K | Mar 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 13.36K |
| $0.999 |
| $13.35K |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 10K | $0.997 | $9.97K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Netflix dip to $0 in March?No | buy | 11.17K | $0.999 | $11.16K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Netflix reach $455 in March?No | buy | 10.39K | $0.999 | $10.38K | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No | buy | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.003 | $150 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.997 | $49.85K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.997 | $99.7K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100K | $0.997 | $99.7K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.03K | $0.997 | $10.99K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.53K | $0.997 | $44.39K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.63K | $0.019 | $125.91 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 130K | $0.002 | $260 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 120K | $0.002 | $240 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.958 | $47.9K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.52K | $0.959 | $1.46K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.948 | $9.48K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.84K | $0.948 | $3.64K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.948 | $14.22K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.947 | $18.93K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.87K | $0.943 | $4.59K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.71K | $0.942 | $8.21K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.87K | $0.943 | $21.57K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.935 | $5.61 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.933 | $1.08K | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.940 | $9.4K | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.33K | $0.941 | $2.19K | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.942 | $18.84K | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.34K | $0.961 | $7.06K | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 110K | $0.005 | $550 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 100.01K | $0.008 | $800.08 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.01K | $0.950 | $4.76K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.950 | $1.03K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.870 | $8.7K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.900 | $9K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.850 | $4.25K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.74K | $0.796 | $4.57K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.800 | $8K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.810 | $1.93K | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.5K | $0.994 | $9.44K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 752 | $0.840 | $631.68 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 752 | $0.850 | $639.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.69K | $0.850 | $4.84K | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.07K | $0.840 | $3.42K | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.96K | $0.840 | $3.33K | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.42K | $0.840 | $4.56K | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.840 | $1.02K | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.94K | $0.840 | $2.47K | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 208 | $0.860 | $178.88 | Dec 28, 2025 |