Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 3.36K | $0.734 | $2.65K | +$186.51 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | 5h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.51K |
| $0.798 |
| $2.17K |
| +$168.18 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 2.69K | $0.780 | $2.11K | +$12.39 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.37K | $0.802 | $2.03K | +$125.95 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 2.61K | $0.768 | $2.02K | +$19.15 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2.36K | $0.849 | $1.9K | -$104.73 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.05K | $0.738 | $1.89K | +$381.3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.15K | $0.885 | $1.88K | -$20.81 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.983 | $1.01K | +$6.43 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.16K | $0.814 | $897.22 | -$45.21 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 733.29 | $0.738 | $579.3 | +$38.49 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 589.99 | $0.848 | $551.64 | +$51.41 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | No | 253.99 | $0.789 | $205.73 | +$5.38 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 242.48 | $0.825 | $200.05 | +$0.01 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $103.93 | +$3.93 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 79.52 | $0.908 | $78.37 | +$6.18 |
| sell |
| 101 |
| $0.985 |
| $99.49 |
| 6h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | 6h ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 132 | $0.760 | $100.32 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 102 | $0.982 | $100.16 | 1d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 218.58 | $0.915 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 102 | $0.977 | $99.65 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 102 | $0.977 | $99.65 | 3d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 26.15 | $0.790 | $20.66 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 103.8 | $0.790 | $82 | 3d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 21.48 | $0.770 | $16.54 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 102 | $0.979 | $99.86 | 4d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.780 | $901 | 5d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.750 | $15.08 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 102 | $0.979 | $99.82 | 5d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 2.48K | $0.674 | $1.67K | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.713 | $1.71K | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 102 | $0.976 | $99.55 | 5d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.780 | $1.1K | 7d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.880 | $988.77 | 7d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 1.28K | $0.880 | $1.13K | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 103 | $0.973 | $100.24 | 7d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 59.57 | $0.940 | $56 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 103 | $0.972 | $100.12 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 8d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.110 | $440 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 103 | $0.971 | $100.01 | 9d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | 9d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 9d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | 10d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | 11d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 11d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | 11d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 52.08 | $0.960 | $50 | 12d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.012 | $37.09 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 12d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.820 | $49.19 | 13d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 535.71 | $0.840 | $450 | 13d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | 14d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | 14d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.810 | $450 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 161.49 | $0.996 | $160.84 | 15d ago |