Analytics
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 128 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-08-23); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
watermarket is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,391,305 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$48.9 observed lifetime PnL, 58 distinct markets, 44 resolved positions, a 52.3% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x69dfd1ad3ffffb14f41e3ed144a6125bc6d98262
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Solana Up or Down - December 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 142.22 | $0.422 | $60 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 154.74 | $0.317 | $49 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | sell | 1.72 | $0.430 | $0.74 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.72 | $0.610 | $1.05 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Mavericks vs. ThunderMavericks | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Mavericks vs. ThunderMavericks | buy | 308.33 | $0.120 | $37 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Heat vs. MavericksMavericks | sell | 222.12 | $0.990 | $219.9 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Heat vs. MavericksMavericks | buy | 90.54 | $0.830 | $75.15 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Heat vs. MavericksMavericks | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Pistons vs. BucksPistons | buy | 117.19 | $0.640 | $75 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Spurs vs. MagicMagic | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Wild vs. OilersWild | sell | 303.18 | $0.990 | $300.15 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Wild vs. OilersWild | buy | 161.4 | $0.620 | $99.99 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Wild vs. OilersWild | buy | 141.77 | $0.440 | $62.38 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Nets vs. BullsNets | sell | 192.3 | $0.250 | $48.08 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Stars vs. RangersStars | buy | 127.36 | $0.530 | $67.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Wild vs. OilersWild | sell | 105.48 | $0.420 | $44.3 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Grizzlies vs. SpursGrizzlies | sell | 150 | $0.350 | $52.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Wild vs. OilersWild | buy | 105.49 | $0.430 | $45.36 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Stars vs. RangersStars | buy | 141.51 | $0.530 | $75 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Nets vs. BullsNets | buy | 192.31 | $0.260 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Grizzlies vs. SpursGrizzlies | buy | 150 | $0.360 | $54 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Suns vs. LakersSuns | sell | 177 | $0.920 | $162.84 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | sell | 13 | $0.590 | $7.67 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 13 | $0.473 | $6.15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Suns vs. LakersSuns | buy | 177 | $0.650 | $115.05 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers | sell | 154.18 | $0.996 | $153.49 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?No | sell | 520.83 | $0.003 | $1.56 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Hawks vs. PistonsHawks | buy | 216.15 | $0.270 | $58.36 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Suns vs. LakersSuns | sell | 285.71 | $0.330 | $94.28 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?No | buy | 520.83 | $0.048 | $25 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Giants | sell | 92.59 | $0.530 | $49.07 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Suns vs. LakersSuns | buy | 285.71 | $0.350 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers | buy | 154.19 | $0.640 | $98.68 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Giants vs. PatriotsPatriots | sell | 131.57 | $0.750 | $98.68 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Giants vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Giants | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Blue Jackets vs. DevilsDevils | buy | 258.29 | $0.580 | $149.81 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Senators vs. StarsStars | sell | 43.85 | $0.990 | $43.41 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Celtics vs. CavaliersCeltics | sell | 126.56 | $0.990 | $125.29 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Flames vs. HurricanesHurricanes | sell | 75.75 | $0.990 | $74.99 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Thunder vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | buy | 78.13 | $0.320 | $25 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Flames vs. HurricanesHurricanes | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Senators vs. StarsStars | buy | 43.86 | $0.570 | $25 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Celtics vs. CavaliersCeltics | buy | 126.57 | $0.471 | $59.67 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Iowa vs. Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska Cornhuskers | sell | 71 | $0.071 | $5.02 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Lightning vs. Red WingsRed Wings | sell | 99.41 | $0.141 | $13.97 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Lightning vs. Red WingsRed Wings | buy | 99.42 | $0.240 | $23.86 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | sell | 15.9 | $0.620 | $9.86 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.