Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 28 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 53.5%. The Lightning side opened at 50% on 2 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 58.5% on 20 Nov 2025 and the low 43% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 58.5% on 20 Nov 2025. $899.29K traded over the market's life.
198 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 30, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 2 Nov 2025 – 28 Nov 2025, chart shows 35%–65%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cavs2 | Red Wings | 143.59K |
| gaigekaifang | Red Wings | 31.92K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Red Wings | 22.05K |
| comon119 | Red Wings | 20K |
| one8tyfive | Red Wings | 17.61K |
| Bienville | Red Wings | 12.84K |
| 4-seas | Red Wings | 11.15K |
| joino | Red Wings | 8.99K |
| mvbyrye | Red Wings | 5.68K |
| zxcv1234 | Red Wings | 1.85K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 28 at 7:00AM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-det-2025-11-28
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