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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 15K | $0.500 | $12.86K | +$5.36K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.79 | $0.890 | $38.08 | 3d ago |
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| Yes |
| 15K |
| $0.500 |
| $2.14K |
| -$5.36K |
| buy |
| 98.88 |
| $0.900 |
| $88.99 |
| 3d ago |
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.54 | $0.830 | $5.43 | 3d ago |
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.46 | $0.872 | $59.69 | 3d ago |
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 342.07 | $0.857 | $293.2 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.610 | $183.05 | 7d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.32 | 7d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 763.86 | $0.970 | $741.02 | 8d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.100 | $40 | 8d ago |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 169.74 | $0.815 | $138.4 | 8d ago |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 509.22 | $0.818 | $416.59 | 8d ago |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.96 | $0.992 | $78.31 | 8d ago |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 150.51 | $0.986 | $148.42 | 8d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 266 | $0.991 | $263.57 | 8d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 157.7 | $0.997 | $157.23 | 8d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.971 | $48.55 | 8d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.91 | $0.994 | $331.82 | 8d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.982 | $72.7 | 8d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 169.16 | $0.985 | $166.62 | 8d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | 8d ago |
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.890 | $5.34 | 21d ago |
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 225.75 | $0.875 | $197.46 | 21d ago |
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 327.87 | $0.980 | $321.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 41.68 | $0.988 | $41.18 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 469 | $0.991 | $464.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 390 | $0.990 | $386.06 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 543.97 | $0.150 | $81.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 67.63 | $0.929 | $62.85 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 328.36 | $0.975 | $320.1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.960 | $1.03K | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 998.99 | $0.970 | $968.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 214.41 | $0.966 | $207.12 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 727.73 | $0.957 | $696.67 | Jun 15, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 501.8 | $0.989 | $496.08 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.745 | $744.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | sell | 875.05 | $0.870 | $761.34 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | sell | 562.67 | $0.887 | $499.01 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.84K | $0.981 | $1.81K | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 12, 2026?No | buy | 604.56 | $0.985 | $595.76 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1510+?No | buy | 336.6 | $0.980 | $329.87 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.990 | $1.2K | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | buy | 287.12 | $0.750 | $215.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | buy | 179.85 | $0.686 | $123.38 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 636 | $0.956 | $607.81 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.964 | $1.12K | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?No | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1510+?No | buy | 205 | $0.985 | $201.9 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?No | buy | 204.8 | $0.970 | $198.66 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | sell | 149.99 | $0.901 | $135.19 | Jun 11, 2026 |