Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 382.29 | $0.085 | $28.67 | -$3.94 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | 46m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 330.34 |
| $0.078 |
| $21.47 |
| -$4.27 |
 Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 8.09K | $0.003 | $20.21 | -$0.71 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 7.99K | $0.002 | $19.98 | +$2.29 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.71K | $0.004 | $16.68 | +$2.02 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 165 | $0.082 | $12.38 | -$1.09 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 888.04 | $0.013 | $11.1 | -$0.05 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 76 | $0.146 | $10.26 | -$0.88 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 162.14 | $0.040 | $7.62 | +$1.2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.117 | $7.2 | -$6.78 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $6.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.35K | $0.007 | $6.07 | -$3.74 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.55K | $0.004 | $5.44 | -$1.14 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.55K | $0.003 | $5.43 | +$0.77 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.012 | $4.98 | -$7.99 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15 | $0.180 | $4.58 | +$1.87 |
 Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 914.48 | $0.005 | $3.2 | -$1.35 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60.5 | $0.068 | $2.72 | -$1.38 |
 Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 499.98 | $0.002 | $2.5 | +$1.5 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.55K | $0.001 | $2.33 | +$0.78 |
 Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.002 | $2.25 | -$0.75 |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.002 | $2.25 | -$0.75 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40.65 | $0.055 | $2.24 | +$0.01 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 46.94 | $0.050 | $2.11 | -$0.23 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 30.01 | $0.034 | $1.16 | +$0.13 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.026 |
| $0.52 |
| 6h ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 65.96 | $0.004 | $0.26 | 10h ago |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 84.88 | $0.001 | $0.08 | 12h ago |
 Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.002 | $0.24 | 13h ago |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.002 | $0.06 | 13h ago |
 Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 349.86 | $0.001 | $0.35 | 13h ago |
 Israel Election: New Economic Party & Amcha Yisrael Run on Same List?Yes | sell | 15.06 | $0.002 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
| Israel Election: New Economic Party & Amcha Yisrael Run on Same List?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 91.82 | $0.003 | $0.28 | 2d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 498.99 | $0.001 | $0.5 | 2d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.001 | $0.31 | 2d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 655 | $0.001 | $0.66 | 2d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 322.66 | $0.002 | $0.65 | 2d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.02 | $0.030 | $0.66 | 2d ago |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 267.81 | $0.001 | $0.27 | 2d ago |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 876.76 | $0.001 | $0.88 | 2d ago |
 Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | 3d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | 3d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 3d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.025 | $0.5 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 3d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.027 | $0.27 | 3d ago |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 134.68 | $0.002 | $0.27 | 4d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | 4d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.030 | $0.75 | 4d ago |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 817.84 | $0.001 | $0.82 | 5d ago |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 72.9 | $0.002 | $0.15 | 5d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.96 | $0.050 | $0.2 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.006 | $1.2 | 8d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | 9d ago |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 875.87 | $0.002 | $1.75 | 9d ago |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 54.4 | $0.010 | $0.54 | 11d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.032 | $1.02 | 11d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.82 | $0.003 | $0.1 | 12d ago |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.012 | $0.67 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 12d ago |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.013 | $2.6 | 13d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | 14d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 203.49 | $0.002 | $0.41 | 14d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.002 | $0.09 | 14d ago |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.041 | $1.03 | 15d ago |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 16d ago |