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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.430 |
| $2.15 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3 | $0.780 | $2.34 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.670 | $2.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3 | $0.580 | $1.74 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.560 | $1.68 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.887 | $4.44 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 3?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C or higher on August 3?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 3?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.020 | $0.16 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C or higher on August 3?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.030 | $0.75 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 3?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.030 | $0.75 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 39.68 | $0.016 | $0.63 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.036 | $0.9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.006 | $0.58 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.007 | $0.35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 1?Yes | buy | 41.77 | $0.020 | $0.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.019 | $0.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.018 | $0.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.019 | $0.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.030 | $0.76 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.040 | $0.72 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.002 | $0.19 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on August 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 19.21 | $0.020 | $0.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |