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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Amazon buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 671.5 | $0.340 | $228.3 | Apr 2, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.680 |
| $680 |
| Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Gen Z Quant kid launch another coin by Friday?Yes | buy | 262.62 | $0.097 | $25.6 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 378.55 | $0.320 | $121.15 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 525.76 | $0.343 | $180.12 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 92.18 | $0.360 | $33.18 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will RFK remove raw milk ban?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.317 | $317.32 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will RFK remove raw milk ban?Yes | buy | 967.19 | $0.300 | $290.16 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2025?Yes | sell | 239.69 | $0.600 | $143.81 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31?Yes | sell | 410 | $0.395 | $161.9 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 205.46 | $0.124 | $25.48 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.030 | $30.12 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 194.44 | $0.109 | $21.19 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 194.35 | $0.160 | $31.19 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Bybit withdrawals halted for >24 hours before April?No | sell | 50.97 | $0.957 | $48.78 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will RFK remove raw milk ban?Yes | buy | 64.98 | $0.400 | $25.99 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Bybit withdrawals halted for >24 hours before April?No | buy | 55 | $0.850 | $46.75 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.163 | $162.64 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.019 | $46.75 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.161 | $401.81 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.190 | $11.4 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 188.44 | $0.180 | $33.92 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 900 | $0.119 | $107.1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.119 | $11.9 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 4.57K | $0.020 | $91.01 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No | sell | 99.97 | $0.999 | $99.87 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?No | sell | 109.63 | $0.933 | $102.33 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.044 | $8.81 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.050 | $100 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.570 | $775.63 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 289.25 | $0.563 | $162.77 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.550 | $15.74 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?No | buy | 90.6 | $0.500 | $45.3 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 214.4 | $0.290 | $62.2 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.731 | $80.4 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.290 | $290 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 464.14 | $0.560 | $259.92 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?No | buy | 1.53K | $0.700 | $1.07K | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.310 | $310 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 403.37 | $0.350 | $141.18 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.230 | $691.76 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | buy | 10.78 | $0.928 | $10 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 191.27 | $0.220 | $42.08 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.782 | $10 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 44.84 | $0.223 | $10 | Jan 5, 2025 |