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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.940 | $15.66 | Oct 10, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.600 |
| $10 |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.976 | $12.04 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 16.53 | $0.242 | $4 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 25.86 | $0.580 | $15 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 53.61 | $0.037 | $2 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on July 18?Yes | buy | 28.85 | $0.520 | $15 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | sell | 55 | $0.870 | $47.85 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 55 | $0.345 | $19 | Jul 13, 2025 |