Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.2 |
| Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.980 | $0.3 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 0.84 | $0.580 | $0.49 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 749.75 | $0.080 | $59.98 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?No | sell | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.700 | $139.99 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 399.98 | $0.190 | $76 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No | sell | 309.31 | $0.480 | $148.47 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.530 | $158.99 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | sell | 687.11 | $0.247 | $169.53 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 179.9 | $0.997 | $179.36 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.260 | $104 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 502.15 | $0.410 | $205.88 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?No | sell | 334.94 | $0.940 | $314.84 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?Yes | sell | 344.99 | $0.987 | $340.51 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.550 | $628.44 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 4.46K | $0.850 | $3.79K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 500 | $0.850 | $425 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?Yes | sell | 523.78 | $0.830 | $434.74 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 577.92 | $0.940 | $543.24 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | sell | 671 | $0.963 | $646.17 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 965.89 | $0.770 | $743.74 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 855.34 | $0.968 | $827.97 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.910 | $944.64 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.970 | $992.59 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | sell | 2.32K | $0.480 | $1.11K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 3.09K | $0.410 | $1.27K | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.981 | $1.43K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.23K | $0.450 | $1.45K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | sell | 1.67K | $0.890 | $1.48K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September?No | sell | 1.83K | $0.991 | $1.81K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No | sell | 4.29K | $0.460 | $1.97K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4.64K | $0.736 | $3.42K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?No | sell | 5.37K | $0.640 | $3.44K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 4.1K | $0.842 | $3.45K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Megaquake before August?No | sell | 5.97K | $0.962 | $5.74K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 6.79K | $0.927 | $6.3K | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4.64K | $0.735 | $3.41K | Jul 11, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?Yes | sell | 141.44 | $0.920 | $130.12 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 135 | $0.900 | $121.5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | sell | 99.98 | $0.968 | $96.82 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.320 | $64 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | sell | 145.13 | $0.280 | $40.64 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?Yes | sell | 154.63 | $0.300 | $46.39 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | sell | 50.1 | $0.734 | $36.77 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 World Series of Poker – American winner?Yes | sell | 16.51 | $0.440 | $7.26 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 14.88 | $0.450 | $6.7 | Jul 10, 2025 |