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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 8.03K | $0.665 | $1.08K | -$4.26K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 641.03 | $0.780 | $500 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.09K |
| $0.230 |
| $200.73 |
| -$509.55 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 1.26K | $0.270 | $56.67 | -$283.33 |
| buy |
| 1.26K |
| $0.270 |
| $340 |
| May 19, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 862.5 | $0.400 | $345 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.09K | $0.230 | $710.28 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp | sell | 152.2 | $0.700 | $106.54 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 238.28 | $0.382 | $91.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 148.15 | $0.640 | $94.82 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 18.22 | $0.510 | $9.29 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETDown | buy | 42.94 | $0.020 | $0.86 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETDown | buy | 108.44 | $0.080 | $8.68 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | sell | 21.45 | $0.730 | $15.66 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 20.17 | $0.220 | $4.44 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 14.03 | $0.390 | $5.47 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 822.68 | $0.964 | $793.33 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 793.34 | $0.860 | $682.27 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 154.62K | $0.004 | $682.26 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 140.43K | $0.077 | $10.85K | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.19K | $0.085 | $1.2K | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.17K | $0.698 | $5K | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25.93K | $0.003 | $77.79 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.62K | $0.178 | $1K | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 7?Yes | buy | 3.15K | $0.938 | $2.96K | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.132 | $10.03 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 73.8 | $0.340 | $25.09 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 335.5 | $0.310 | $104.01 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.004 | $100 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.62K | $0.178 | $1K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.74K | $0.129 | $1K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 73.8 | $0.200 | $14.76 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.76 | $0.932 | $13.76 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 928.57 | $0.014 | $13 | Dec 14, 2025 |