Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 131.13 | $0.716 | $93.9 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 18.76K |
| $0.005 |
| $93.82 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?No | buy | 14.26K | $0.991 | $14.13K | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 14.1K | $0.950 | $13.4K | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?No | buy | 26 | $0.963 | $25.04 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown | buy | 192.26 | $0.608 | $116.8 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 170.54 | $0.704 | $120.04 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 4.86K | $0.962 | $4.68K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?No | buy | 2.79K | $0.968 | $2.7K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 8.56K | $0.999 | $8.55K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?No | buy | 697 | $0.770 | $536.69 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.919 | $6.73 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 1?No | buy | 7.71K | $0.970 | $7.48K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by February 28?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.992 | $1.22K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.21 | $0.997 | $50.06 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No | buy | 941.31 | $0.992 | $933.78 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No | buy | 3.97K | $0.991 | $3.93K | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.995 | $129.35 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No | buy | 25.93K | $0.995 | $25.8K | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.171 | $1.71 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.136 | $1.36 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.229 | $2.29 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.296 | $2.96 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No | buy | 11.11K | $0.997 | $11.08K | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.72K | $0.999 | $10.71K | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.12K | $0.995 | $4.1K | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.993 | $1.74K | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 820.47 | $0.990 | $812.27 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?No | buy | 111 | $0.995 | $110.45 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.994 | $12.43 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 4K | $0.995 | $3.98K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 3.3K | $0.985 | $3.25K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?No | buy | 264.48 | $0.976 | $258 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 4.24K | $0.932 | $3.95K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 508.19 | $0.984 | $500 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No | buy | 23.39K | $0.994 | $23.25K | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.948 | $1.41K | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | buy | 924.32 | $0.998 | $922.47 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | buy | 222.36 | $0.994 | $221 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.19K | $0.989 | $17K | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.99K | $0.981 | $4.89K | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.979 | $97.89 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No | buy | 8.71K | $0.997 | $8.68K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?No | buy | 400 | $0.950 | $380 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No | buy | 34.06 | $0.993 | $33.82 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No | buy | 16.78 | $0.993 | $16.66 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No | buy | 409 | $0.993 | $406.14 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No | buy | 15.24K | $0.990 | $15.08K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.9K | $0.997 | $4.89K | Feb 3, 2026 |