Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 165.78 | $0.140 | $23.21 | Apr 5, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 164.91 |
| $0.120 |
| $19.79 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 136.28 | $0.130 | $17.72 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 130.93 | $0.170 | $22.26 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 26?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 267.21 | $0.112 | $30 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.003 | $4.6 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.014 | $40 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?Yes | buy | 163.51 | $0.061 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?Yes | buy | 117.85 | $0.042 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?Yes | buy | 447.32 | $0.045 | $20 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.013 | $1.25 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?Yes | buy | 107.2 | $0.065 | $7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)Yes | buy | 22.97 | $0.740 | $17 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 103.38 | $0.143 | $14.73 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 103.38 | $0.193 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.880 | $1.13 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.840 | $0.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.025 | $1.67 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.004 | $0.08 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.022 | $4.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?Yes | sell | 404.39 | $0.010 | $4.04 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 9.64 | $0.830 | $8 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.994 | $6.53 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 680.13 | $0.030 | $20.7 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 32.38 | $0.210 | $6.8 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 16.19 | $0.210 | $3.4 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 141.67 | $0.120 | $17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 538.46 | $0.130 | $70 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.200 | $201.82 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 462.09 | $0.220 | $101.66 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 359.09 | $0.220 | $79 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.210 | $12 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?Yes | buy | 98.36 | $0.102 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on January 8?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on January 8?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.35 | $0.270 | $5.22 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 428.57 | $0.005 | $2.29 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Jan 8, 2026 |