Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 38.18 | $0.550 | $19.47 | -$1.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.210 | $2.5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
|
| Yes |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $2.93 |
| -$2.07 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.360 | $1.15 | -$1.85 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.140 | $0.65 | -$1.85 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.210 | $0.13 | -$2.37 |
| buy |
| 17.86 |
| $0.140 |
| $2.5 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?Yes | buy | 31.24 | $0.640 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?Yes | buy | 23.84 | $0.629 | $15 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 36.81 | $0.267 | $9.83 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 13.69 | $0.290 | $3.97 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Meta reach $770 in December?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.193 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 72.92 | $0.096 | $7 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 39.46 | $0.340 | $13.41 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 15.61 | $0.320 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.320 | $9.6 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 50.03 | $0.320 | $16.01 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 10.84 | $0.323 | $3.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?Yes | sell | 7.87 | $0.300 | $2.36 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 7.88 | $0.317 | $2.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 30.07 | $0.133 | $4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.130 | $2.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.420 | $7.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.390 | $7.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 99.09 | $0.101 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 114.61 | $0.082 | $9.45 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.225 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 6.34 | $0.710 | $4.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 114.62 | $0.087 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 19.11 | $0.157 | $3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |