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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 213.15 | $0.129 | $27.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 157.68 |
| $0.610 |
| $96.18 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?Yes | sell | 134.14 | $0.790 | $105.97 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?No | sell | 150.26 | $0.720 | $108.19 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?No | buy | 150.27 | $0.750 | $112.7 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?Yes | buy | 134.15 | $0.820 | $110 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 188.46 | $0.440 | $82.92 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 677.16 | $0.100 | $67.72 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 9?Yes | sell | 81.26 | $0.886 | $72.01 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 58.2 | $0.460 | $26.77 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 9?No | sell | 116.28 | $0.230 | $26.74 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 677.17 | $0.120 | $81.26 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 959.18 | $0.005 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 39.37 | $0.127 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 9?Yes | buy | 81.27 | $0.670 | $54.45 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 7?Yes | sell | 87.95 | $0.660 | $58.05 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 9?No | buy | 116.29 | $0.559 | $65 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 7?Yes | sell | 87.95 | $0.660 | $58.05 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 140.72 | $0.580 | $81.62 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 173.77 | $0.125 | $21.73 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 7?Yes | buy | 175.91 | $0.540 | $94.99 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 1?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 133.27 | $0.450 | $59.97 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 301 | $0.146 | $43.96 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 200 | $0.580 | $116 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 188.46 | $0.540 | $101.76 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 339.19 | $0.300 | $101.76 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 339.19 | $0.310 | $105.15 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 293 | $0.510 | $149.43 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 648.56 | $0.116 | $75 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.050 | $75 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 532.39 | $0.180 | $95.83 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 825.41 | $0.178 | $147.17 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 208.33 | $0.460 | $95.83 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 283.02 | $0.520 | $147.17 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 78.57 | $0.210 | $16.5 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 9.72 | $0.188 | $1.83 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?No | sell | 25 | $0.660 | $16.5 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 407.21 | $0.187 | $76.33 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?No | buy | 39.38 | $0.640 | $25.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 19?Yes | sell | 29.3 | $0.860 | $25.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 19?Yes | buy | 29.31 | $0.750 | $21.98 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?No | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?Yes | sell | 449.14 | $0.020 | $8.98 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?No | buy | 37.18 | $0.980 | $36.44 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?No | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Dec 18, 2025 |