Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 8h ago |
|
Quiet Scout F3A6 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #574,826 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$5.3 observed lifetime PnL, 97 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 42.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x5deaaac25aeb7a9a4a8e2555d249d128410af3a6
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 3.03 |
| $0.330 |
| $1.29 |
| +$0.29 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.33 | $0.430 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
| buy |
| 1.39 |
| $0.720 |
| $1 |
| 18h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 5d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 in August?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.639 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 26d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?Down | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 13.04 | $0.760 | $9.91 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.540 | $2.29 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 4 | $0.290 | $1.16 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.510 | $2.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.06 | $0.630 | $2.56 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.