Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 3:57 PM UTC.
Analytics
El-Rayo is down $100.72 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 3:57 PM UTC.
$6.3 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 54.0% were buys. They run from Sep 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.5 | $0.470 | $32.81 | +$15.19 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | 1d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 04:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 15:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 15:57 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 04:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $404.45 and losing ones cost $384.12 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $34.72 on “Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?” (Yes); the largest loss, $54.53 on “Knicks vs. Spurs” (Spurs).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 262 markets. Its open positions are worth $58.36 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.620 |
| $7.25 |
| +$1.05 |
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.750 | $6.95 | -$0.55 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | No | 10 | $0.640 | $6.05 | -$0.35 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $3.75 | -$0.75 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.350 | $1.55 | -$1.95 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.090 |
| $4.5 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | 4d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 7d ago |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.405 | $2.03 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.405 | $4.05 | 23d ago |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?No | buy | 26.41 | $0.120 | $3.17 | 24d ago |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?No | buy | 13.59 | $0.120 | $1.63 | 24d ago |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | 25d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.056 | $2.78 | 25d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | 26d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | 27d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 26, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.059 | $2.36 | 27d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | 27d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.220 | $13.2 | 28d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.960 | $11.52 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.382 | $5.73 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 35 | $0.270 | $9.45 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.98 | $0.120 | $5.04 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.120 | $2.16 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 36.13 | $0.060 | $2.17 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 33.87 | $0.070 | $2.37 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.120 | $0.56 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.3 | $0.120 | $3.04 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.740 | $22.2 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?No | sell | 0.51 | $0.966 | $0.49 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?No | sell | 9.49 | $0.975 | $9.25 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.